The approval of gold futures’ debut
on Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) is catching the attention
of not only institutional investors but retail investors looking
for an attractive alternative to shares and stocks.
The SHFE has released the draft contract on the prospective
gold futures. The contract was clearly designed with an adequately
low margin requirement to entice retail investors. The contract’s
terms must be ratified by regulators.
The draft contract specifies the contract size at 300 grams
per hand. Based on the current spot price of gold at 170 yuan
per gram, the value of a contract is around 51,000 yuan. As the
margin requirement for trading is set at 7 percent of the contract
value, the threshold for access to the proposed gold futures market
is around 3,570 yuan.
Teng Jiawei, SHFE’s executive vice-president, says the exchange
is set to host simulated trading on gold futures to better educate
retail investors of potential risks, which are considerably higher
than buying shares.
Analysts predict that the relatively low trading threshold
will attract many retail investors to enter the market. Their
active participation is expected to help boost market liquidity,
which is crucial to enticing institutional investors.
"It is good news for individual investors, for we are
provided with more investment options," said Song Di, a 26-year-old
junior executive at a Shanghai-based human resources firm.
"Holding gold has been a traditional preference for many
Chinese people. The possession of gold is usually regarded as
a symbol of personal wealth. The introduction of gold futures
is expected to be welcomed by many individual investors and it
will become an actively traded product in the future," Li
Jingyuan, a fund manager at Haifu Futures Co Ltd, told China Daily.
"I would like to buy some gold futures once the trading
is started," said 25-year-old Yuan Yuan, a customer service
executive at a Japanese advertising company. "The trading
threshold is set at a level that I can afford and I want to have
a try in the new area outside the stock market."
Because the price of gold price tends to run contrary to other
capital markets trends, buying gold can be a good way to cut a
profit during a bear market or when the US dollar is under pressure.
It is also necessary for investors to include gold in their portfolios
to diversify their investments to serve as a balance to shares
in an increasingly volatile market.
"Gold futures are expected to be traded more actively
than other metal futures, because investors consider gold to be
more of a financial instrument than just a metal," said Ma
Xiaofei, an analyst with China International Futures (Shanghai)
Co Ltd (CIFCO).
Individual investors should first measure their ability to
manage risk and adjust the percentage of gold in their portfolios.
The proportional share of each investment needs to be rearranged
according to changes in macroeconomic conditions that affect individual
markets differently, investment experts advise. For most investors,
keeping a 10 to 20 percent investment in gold in their portfolios
is appropriate, analysts say.
China’s gold market provides common investors with many gold
products including gold bullions and bars, paper gold and gold
coins. Analysts say the proposed trading in gold futures on the
SHFE will greatly expand the flexibility and opportunity in the
current gold market by providing both a hedging mechanism and
a speculative instrument.
Looking at the international gold market, derivatives accounted
for more than 90 percent of total trading volume.
Anticipation of a robust global economy in the coming years
has prompted enthusiasm in gold futures; gold demand is largely
stimulated by economic development. The worry of further US dollar
devaluation also adds to the lure of gold futures.
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